M24-U24 Roll Update (CGZ, CGF, CGB & LGB)

Delivery periods for all June 2024 contracts and all contracts going forward are affected by the late May change from T+2 settlement for bond trades to T+1. Any calculations dependent on T+2 should be adjusted to account for this. Two interesting impacts on futures contracts will be: one day less in the active life of a wildcard option, important for CGB™ contracts; and, perhaps, some tendency to delay the beginning of the liquid roll period one day closer to the end of the month.

First notice is May 31st, and the liquid part of the roll period may still begin on May 28th, as it normally would, but could be put off to May 29th since the roll period is always driven by a desire to close positions before notice/delivery dates. Buyers need to meet sellers, not only on price but also on timing of the trade, so we suggest watching for a May 28th start but don't be concerned if there is a one-day delay in comparison to previous quarters as first notice day is now one day later.

READ ARTICLE

Related Articles

  • June 4, 2024
    A 30 basis point selloff in 5-year bonds in April has brought a widening of spreads between Canadian and US bonds. We examine here the historical prospect of two highly interconnected economies diverging for long periods of time.
    May 14, 2024
    In this edition, we look at factors inherent to Government of Canada bond futures contracts and their implications for 2024 and 2025 expiries. While few disruptive issues are being foreseen, investors should be aware of the likely negative basis stemming from interest rate policy expectations. The article provides interest rate scenarios according to each bond futures expiry shedding light on the basis along with a perspective on wildcard value.
  • April 26, 2024
    Benchmark interest rates are crucial in directing investment strategies, shaping economic policies, and impacting lending rates in the global finance landscape. In Canada, the shift from the Canadian Dollar Offered Rate (CDOR), the recognized financial benchmark for Bankers’ Acceptances (BAs), to the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA) as a reference benchmark rate marks a significant transformation in the financial decision-making process.